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Strong Outlook for Scotland’s 2025 Cereal Harvest Despite Challenging Weather
Winter crops drive strong forecast as Scotland’s 2025 cereal harvest expected to exceed five-year production average.
Scotland’s agriculture sector has received encouraging news with predictions pointing to a strong cereal harvest for 2025.
According to the Chief Statistician’s latest report—an Accredited Official Statistics Publication for Scotland—overall cereal production could exceed 3.2 million tonnes, placing it well above the five-year average despite the impact of dry spring and summer conditions.
Winter crops are expected to lead the way, with winter barley, oilseed rape, and wheat all showing promising yields. These results reflect resilience in the face of the sunniest spring and hottest summer on record, which posed significant challenges for growers across the country.
The outlook for spring crops is more mixed. Spring barley, Scotland’s largest cereal crop, is predicted to yield around average levels. Experts note that this is a notable outcome given the drought conditions that affected much of the growing season.
The estimates are based on initial assessments from a panel of industry experts at the September Crop Report Meeting, combined with provisional land use data from the June Agricultural Census. Final harvest figures will be published in December, following the completion of the season.
Commenting on the report, Agriculture Minister, Mr Fairlie said:
“The figures out today are welcome news to the agriculture sector, particularly in the face of challenging growing conditions. I know that for many farmers, crofters and producers they may come as a surprise when measured against just how difficult this year has been and the current prices for crops.
“In stark contrast to policy in other parts of the UK, in Scotland we continue to support and invest in our essential agricultural industry, we care, and our words are backed with action and vital financial support, to enable farmers to invest in sustainable food production.”
The full statistical publication, including supporting data tables, is available HERE
This early forecast offers a positive signal for Scotland’s farming community and highlights the importance of continued investment in sustainable agriculture.
